Stock Selection and Market Timing Ability to Increase Indonesia's Equity Mutual Fund Performance

Abstract

This study investigates the effect of stock selection, market timing, and fund size on the mutual fund’s performance with Covid-19 as a moderating variable. The sample data is limited to the listed conventional mutual funds supervised by the financial service authorization from 2014 to 2021, denominated in Rupiah currency, have a complete report, and have more than Rp 350 billion in fund equities. The sample data implements twenty-eight of the listed conventional mutual funds and is examined by a random method of Panel data multi-regression with moderated regression analysis (MRA). The result shows that market timing positively affects, and Covid-19 can enhance the effect of stock selection on the mutual fund’s performance. Meanwhile, stock selection, fund size, and Covid-19 do not affect the mutual fund’s performance. Covid-19 cannot moderate the effect of market timing and fund size on the mutual fund’s performance. Fund managers highlight market timing as a crucial indicator of obtaining more returns, and Covid-19 is the best moment to select and collect potential stock at affordable prices and trade them to get more returns after the crisis. DOI: 10.26905/jkdp.v27i4.11047