Market timing and stock selection performance of mutual fund in bull and bear market condition

Abstract

This study aims to measure the performance of stock mutual fund in Indonesia by using a Paramita model. This study used a sample of 30 stock mutual funds, which were actively traded in the period 2008-2012. The study period was divided into two periods: economic crisis and after economic crisis. The results showed that on the crisis period, during the bull market, the majority of stock mutual funds in Indonesia have the best performance of market timing and stock selection. While in the bear market, several mutual fund only have the best performance of market timing, but bad performance of stock selections. But on after crisis period, most of the mutual funds indicate bad performance of market timing in bull and bear market conditions. But in the bull market conditions, most of the mutual funds were showed a good performance of stock selections.