Prediksi Harga Tandan Buah Segar dengan Algoritma K-Nearest Neighbor

Abstract

Palm oil and its derivative products are a source of foreign exchange for this country, because efforts are needed to maintain and develop the sustainability of palm oil as a potential natural resource. The company carries out statistical analysis on the factors inhibiting the previous month's harvest with a correction value of 5% – 12%. However, this kind of analysis still produces inaccurate prediction results, this is because the calculation process still involves estimation techniques from personal experience, looking at previous production patterns and other determining factors such as land area, principal amount and planting age. As a result, prediction targets often experience errors and production results are excessive or less than the target. Therefore, better predictive calculations are needed in determining palm oil production targets. Accurate predictions can help companies make decisions to increase production output. To carry out forecasting, it is necessary to apply the K-Nearest Neighbor Algorithm which can be used to predict palm oil prices in the future. Based on the results of data mining calculations using palm oil FFB prices from 2018 to 2023 (May 2023), it was concluded that the prediction of palm oil FFB prices in the 67th month (July 2023) had an accuracy level of 10,667 with k=3 and 19,200 with k=5.