A Dam Safety State Prediction and Analysis Method Based on EMD-SSA-LSTM

Abstract

The safety monitoring information of the dam is an indicator reflecting the operational status of the dam. It is a crucial source for analyzing and assessing the safety state of reservoir dams, possessing strong real-time capabilities to detect anomalies in the dam at the earliest possible time. When using neural networks for predicting and warning dam safety monitoring data, there are issues such as redundant model parameters, difficulty in tuning, and long computation times. This study addresses real-time dam safety warning issues by first employing the Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) method to decompose the effective time-dependent factors and construct a dam in a service state analysis model; it also establishes a multi-dimensional time series analysis equation for dam seepage monitoring. Simultaneously, by combining the Sparrow Optimization Algorithm to optimize the LSTM neural network computation process, it reduces the complexity of model parameter selection. The method is compared to other approaches such as RNN, GRU, BP neural networks, and multivariate linear regression, demonstrating high practicality. It can serve as a valuable reference for reservoir dam state prediction and engineering operation management.