Ship Short-Term Trajectory Prediction Based on RNN

Abstract

Abstract In the application of ship supervision, ship collision avoidance, maritime search and rescue, the trajectory prediction of the target ship is a key issue. Given the ship navigation trajectory is easily affected by wind and waves, in order to improve the accuracy and efficiency of prediction, a ship short-term trajectory prediction method combining with Automatic Identification System (AIS) data and deep learning is proposed. Based on the preprocessing of AIS data, a recurrent neural network (RNN) model is constructed to achieve the accurate prediction of ship position information is realized. Through the real ship AIS trajectory data experiment, the results show that the method is practical and effective. Compared with the traditional backpropagation (BP) neural network processing method, it has certain advantages in prediction accuracy.